Information about your group/project: Name(s) and e-mail (s) (please list primary contact first)*: Mark Dierckxsens, Mark.Dierckxsens@aeronomie.be Norma Crosby, Norma.Crosby@aeronomie.be Associated Institution/Project name/Group name*: Royal Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomie (BIRA-IASB), Space Physics Division, Space Weather Group Website url(s): http://www.comesep.eu/ http://www.aeronomie.be/ Information about your method: Forecasting method name*: COMESEP SEPForecast > 10 MeV Shorthand unique identifier for your method (methodname_version, e.g. ModelName_1 or ModelName_201201): sepforecast_10mev Short description*: Occurance probability for a >10 MeV proton event and expected strength following an M1 flare or stronger. Model Inputs*: X-ray peak flux (GOES), flare location (SDO/AIA 94, Solar Demon), CME width & velocity (SOHO/LASCO, Cactus), GLE observations (GLE ALert Plus) Model Outputs*: Radiation storm scale (based on E>10 MeV integral proton energy peak flux), probability, event onset and length References: Further Model Details: (1)* Is the forecast made continuously (e.g. probability for the next 24 hours, or a time series), or event-triggered (e.g. by a flare or CME). The forecast is event triggered (flares) (2)* Is the forecast human generated, human generated but model-based, model-based, or other. Model-based and automaticly generated after detection of a >= M1 flare and updated in case the other inputs are available later. (3)* If model-based: is the model empirical, physics-based or both. empirical model for probability and scale, physics based for event onset and length (SPARX model)