CME Arrival Time and Impact Working Team
Team Leads: C. Verbeke (KU Leuven), M.L. Mays (CCMC), A. Taktakishvili (CCMC)
Scoreboard Leads: M.L. Mays, co-lead TBD
Communications: ccmc-cme-arrival@googlegroups.com (mailing list); slack: ccmc-collab.slack.com (email us to be invited to the slack discussion channels)
MENU Latest News Models Events Metrics and Quantities User Needs Model Results Verification Results Meetings, Reports & Resources Ongoing Discussions Participants CME Scoreboard |
Working Team Goals This team will evaluate how well different models/techniques can predict CME arrival time and impact for a set of historical events, with open communication with the community. The work is complementary to the CME Scoreboard activity whose goal is collect and display real-time CME predictions and facilitate the validation of real-time predictions. ✳ Evaluate where we stand with CME arrival time and impact prediction ✳ Establish metrics agreed upon by the community ✳ Provide a benchmark against which future models can be assessed against
Working Team Deliverables By April 2017: Deliver the first two items for at least two time intervals and a handful of models, and make a start on the third item through collaboration with the Information Architecture for Interactive Archives (IAIA) working team. Collaborate with the working team: Assessment of Understanding and Quantifying Progress Toward Science Understanding and Operational Readiness.
Summary of Working Team Tasks |