publications/reports

 

peer-reviewed Publications

reports

Pulkkinen, A., M. Hesse, M. Kuznetsova and Lutz Rastätter, First-principles modeling of geomagnetically induced electromagnetic fields and currents from upstream solar wind to the surface of the Earth, Annales Geophysicae, 25, 881-893, 2007. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., R. Pirjola, and A. Viljanen, Determination of ground conductivity and system parameters for optimal modeling of geomagnetically induced current flow in technological systems, Earth, Planets and Space, 59, 999-1006, 2007. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., R. Pirjola, and A. Viljanen, Statistics of extreme geomagnetically induced current events, Space Weather, 6, S07001, doi:10.1029/2008SW000388, 2008. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., A. Viljanen, R. Pirjola, and L Häkkinen, Electromagnetic source equivalence and extension of the complex image method for geophysical applications, Progress in Electromagnetics Research B, 16, 57-84, 2009. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., A. Taktakishvili, D. Odstrcil and W. Jacobs, Novel approach to geomagnetically induced current forecasts based on remote solar observations, Space Weather, 7, S08005, doi:10.1029/2008SW000447, 2009. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., M. Hesse, S. Habib, L. Van der Zel, B. Damsky, F. Policelli, D. Fugate, and W. Jacobs, Solar Shield  - forecasting and mitigating space weather effects on high-voltage power transmission systems, Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-009-9432-x, 2009. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., T. Oates, and A. Taktakishvili, Automatic determination of the conic coronal mass ejection model parameters, Solar Physics, doi:10.1007/s11207-009-9473-z, 2009. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., and L. Rastätter, Minimum variance analysis-based propagation of the solar wind observations: application to real-time global magnetohydrodynamic simulations, Space Weather, 7, S12001, doi:10.1029/2009SW000468, 2009. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., L. Rastätter, M. Kuznetsova, M. Hesse, A. Ridley, J. Raeder, H.J. Singer, and A. Chulaki, Systematic evaluation of ground and geostationary magnetic field predictions generated by global magnetohydrodynamic models, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, A03206, doi:10.1029/2009JA014537, 2010. (link)


Pulkkinen, A., M. Kuznetsova, A. Ridley, J. Raeder, A. Vapirev, D. Weimer, R. S. Weigel, M. Wiltberger, G. Millward, L. Rastätter, M. Hesse, H. J. Singer and A. Chulaki, Geospace Environment Modeling 2008-2009 Challenge: ground magnetic field perturbations, Space Weather, Vol. 9, S02004, doi:10.1029/2010SW000600, 2011. (link)

Hesse et al., Evaluation Report for “Integrated forecasting system for mitigating adverse space weather effects on the Northern American high-voltage power transmission system”, NASA Applied Sciences Program report, January 2008. (PDF)


Hesse et al., Verification & Validation Report for “Integrated forecasting system for mitigating adverse space weather effects on the Northern American high-voltage power transmission system”, NASA Applied Sciences Program report, January 2009. (PDF)


Hesse et al., Benchmark Report for “Integrated forecasting system for mitigating adverse space weather effects on the Northern American high-voltage power transmission system”, NASA Applied Sciences Program report, April 2010. (PDF)


Pulkkinen et al., Solar Storm GIC Forecasting: Solar Shield Extension - GIC Forecasting System Requirements, DHS S&T report, October 2014. (PDF)

selected presentations

Pulkkinen, A., R. Pirjola, and A. Viljanen, Determination of ground conductivity and system parameters for optimal modeling of geomagnetically induced current flow in technological systems, IUGG meeting, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13, 2007. (ppt)


Pulkkinen, A., M. Hesse, S. Habib, F. Policelli, B. Damsky, L. Van der Zel, D. Fugate, W. Jacobs, Solar Shield - Forecasting and Mitigating Solar Effects on Power Transmissions Systems, Space Weather Workshop, Bouder, CO, April 28-May 2, 2008. (ppt)


Pulkkinen, A., N. Buzulukova, L. Rastaetter, M. Kuznetsova, A. Viljanen, and R. Pirjola, First-principles-based modeling of geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) at mid- and low-latitudes, fall AGU meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 15-19, 2008. (ppt)


Pulkkinen, A., A. Taktakishvili, D. Odstrcil, and W. Jacobs, Novel approach to geomagnetically induced current forecasts based on remote solar observations, April 28-May 1, 2009. (ppt)


Pulkkinen, A., L. Rastätter, M. Kuznetsova, and A. Chulaki, GEM Challenge: ground magnetic field perturbations, GEM Workshop, Snowmass, CO, June 21-26, 2009. (ppt)


Pulkkinen, A., M. Hesse, S. Habib, F. Policelli, B. Damsky, L. Van der Zel, D. Fugate, W. Jacobs, E. Creamer, Solar Shield project - lessons learned and advances made, Space Weather Workshop, Bouder, CO, April 27-30, 2010. (ppt)


A. Pulkkinen, S. Mahmood, C. Ngwira, C. Balch, S. Habib, F. Policelli, R. Lordan, D. Fugate, W. Jacobs, Solar Shield: Update and Path Forward, Space Weather Workshop, Boulder, CO, April 13-17, 2015. (PDF)



OTHER

The draft Solar Shield predictions can be viewed in real-time using iSWA displays that you can access through this link. What are shown are the magnetic field and geoelectric field predictions at the locations of the USGS geophysical observatories (top panels). The middle panel shows GIC predicted at 6 selected sites in the US. The display also includes (bottom panel) sample of interactive timeline tool that can used to access Solar Shield time series. Please note that the displays are still in draft format and are designed for monitoring the availability of the predictions rather than for detailed analysis of the actual predictions themselves.