Experimental ICME estimate at 1AU based on heliospheric MHD simulations. Produced by the Community Coordinated Modeling Center at NASA/GSFC for the Air Force Weather Agency. For more information please contact: Aleksandre.Taktakishvili-1@nasa.gov ****************************************************** Estimate issued on 2013/11/04, 10:16:44 EST ****************************************************** Arrival time(year/month/day, hr:min UT) =2011-02-16T21:11Z (confidence level +-7 hours) Duration of the disturbance (hr) = 4.2 (confidence level +-8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re)=4.6 (under quiet conditions: Rmin(Re)=10; R_geosynchr(Re)=6.6) Kp index for three possible IMF clock angles (angle 180 gives the maximum possible estimated Kp): (Kp)_90=3 (Kp)_135=5 (Kp)_180=5