Experimental ICME estimate at 1AU based on heliospheric MHD simulations. Produced by the Community Coordinated Modeling Center at NASA/GSFC for the Air Force Weather Agency. For more information please contact: Aleksandre.Taktakishvili-1@nasa.gov ****************************************************** Estimate issued on 2012/10/10, 13:36:59 EST ****************************************************** Arrival time(year/month/day, hr:min UT) =2001-08-16T11:20Z (confidence level +-7 hours) Duration of the disturbance (hr) = 5.5 (confidence level +-8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re)=5.0 (under quiet conditions: Rmin(Re)=10; R_geosynchr(Re)=6.6) Kp index for three possible IMF clock angles (angle 180 gives the maximum possible estimated Kp): (Kp)_90=5 (Kp)_135=7 (Kp)_180=8